The Keys to the White House : A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President by Allan Lichtman (2005, Perfect, Revised edition)

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In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860—including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelection—Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions.